UFC FN151 Betting Tips & Plays
View the MMABETMACHINE bets for UFC FN151 under:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 years old, Burgos is coming into his prime as he chooses on the veteran Cub Swanson. He could have a significant reach advantage of 5.5 inches and is overall a considerably larger featherweight. In the pocket Burgos is more technical with sharp mixes and harmful power. He’s a good camp but his main weakness seems to be defense, where he has left himself exposed to strikes and been hurt in many recent fights.
Swanson is a far more unorthadox and crazy fighter and his style looks to struggle against more specialized competition. He’s on a significant losing streak where he’s appeared vulnerable and flat in each fight. It appears Cub is on a a recession which is not surprising given his age in a branch where speed is king. It should be noted that most of Cub’s losses have begun to top 10 resistance, but it’s his lack of competitiveness that raise a red flag.
This fight ought to be entertaining with both men eager to stand and trade. In the improbable event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances this could be a close fight, but we expect to find a falling veteran who can’t keep up with the technical youthful talent. Back Burgos for the win , probably in the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking on the relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has much better striking compared to his opponent and holds a BJJ blackbelt. In his career he hasn’t shown the most effective initial takedown defense however he uses his grappling talents to continue being dangerous and create scrambles. Thus far he’s shown a strong ability to get back to his feet. Dvalishvili is essential standing, largely throwing his looping right hand to prepare degree fluctuations. He averages an absurd amount of takedown attempts each fight, compounded by the fact he struggles to keep top position for long periods.
In this fight it is likely Dvalishvili does property takedowns however Katona has lots of skills to avoid getting stuck on his spine. More time on the feet for Katona means he will maintain control, landing hurt and accumulating rounds. This should be a close battle where the value lies with the local underdog.
Bet = Katona in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and combined with the fact he is fighting a division his chances look slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a significant edge in every area of the battle. On the feet he’s defensively noise and fights long with his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to set the space. Prepolec enjoys to get in near but leaves himself wide open when entering the pocket. His strikes are slower and he ought to be open to counters from Taleb. Size are also a big element in which Prepolec has shown a inclination to escape out in the grappling section by far smaller and not as gifted fighters compared to Taleb. This is likely his safest path to success where he probably dominates to establish a finish. On short notice debut there are simply too many obstacles to conquer and whilst the chances are brief, this seems to be a simple win.
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